PERFECT STORM ANALYSIS: FIRSTLOOK MARKET ALERT #2


 


Disruptive economic shocks like the one we are in bring tremendous risks along with ample opportunities. The Perfect Storm Analysis is named for the impact of the three storm fronts converging to depress used car values right now: Damaged Consumer Confidence, Record Off-Lease Supply and New Car Incentives. Despite these pressures, consumer-facing retail values show a very limited market correction in retail pricing to date.

The analysis includes:

  • Vehicle pricing changes by key segments at the national level
  • Map of the Trade-in Overpayment Zone, Retail out Zone and Restocking Zone, across mild, moderate and severe recession forecasts for retail and wholesale values
  • Recommendations for managing through the current crisis

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